When is the last time an asteroid hit Earth? The answer depends on your definition of a hit

When is the last time an asteroid hit Earth? The answer depends on your definition of a hit

Space is crowded. It's a messy, chaotic shooting gallery out there, and Earth is basically a moving target. If you’re asking when is the last time an asteroid hit Earth, you might be thinking of a "Deep Impact" scenario with tidal waves and mass extinctions. But the reality is much more frequent and, honestly, a little more unsettling.

Technically, Earth gets hit every single day. About 100 tons of space dust and sand-sized particles rain down on us constantly. They burn up as "shooting stars." But if we’re talking about something that actually makes it through the atmosphere and causes a stir, we don't have to look back millions of years. We only have to look back a few months.

The 2024 BX1 Incident: A Hit We Saw Coming

Just recently, in January 2024, a small asteroid named 2024 BX1 entered the atmosphere over Germany. It wasn't a "planet killer," obviously. It was about a meter wide. But it’s significant because scientists actually spotted it about three hours before it hit.

Krisztián Sárneczky, a hunter of space rocks at the Piszkéstető Mountain Station in Hungary, flagged it. It turned into a brilliant fireball that lit up the skies over Berlin. This happens more often than you’d think. In 2023, 2023 CX1 did the same thing over the English Channel. These are "hits," even if they mostly vaporize or drop small fragments of rock into a field somewhere.

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The Chelyabinsk Wake-Up Call

If you’re looking for a "hit" that actually did some damage, we have to talk about February 15, 2013. This is the big one in recent memory. A 20-meter wide rock—roughly the size of a five-story building—screamed into the atmosphere over Russia at 40,000 miles per hour.

It didn't actually strike the ground as a solid mass. Instead, the pressure of the atmosphere caused it to explode about 15 miles up. The energy released was roughly 30 times the force of the Hiroshima atomic bomb.

The shockwave blew out windows in thousands of buildings. It knocked people off their feet. Over 1,500 people were injured, mostly from flying glass. It was a massive wake-up call for NASA and other space agencies. It proved that even a "small" rock we didn't see coming could cause a city-wide disaster. Before Chelyabinsk, we weren't really looking for the 20-meter ones. We are now.

Why don't we see them all?

The sun is the problem. A lot of these asteroids come at us from the direction of the sun, and our telescopes can't see through that glare. It's like trying to find a soot-colored pebble in front of a stadium floodlight. That’s exactly what happened with the Chelyabinsk meteor. It came from the dayside, totally invisible until it hit the air.

NASA is currently working on the Near-Earth Object Surveyor (NEO Surveyor). It’s an infrared space telescope designed specifically to sit in a spot between the Earth and the Sun to find these "hidden" threats.

The Tunguska Mystery of 1908

Going further back, we hit the heavy hitters. June 30, 1908. Tunguska, Siberia.

Something—likely a stony asteroid about 50 to 60 meters across—exploded in the sky. It leveled 80 million trees over 800 square miles. If that had happened over London or New York, those cities would have been erased. There was no crater, which confused people for decades. Scientists now know it was an airburst. The rock was moving so fast and was so structurally weak that the friction of our atmosphere turned it into a giant piston of compressed air that flattened the forest like toothpicks.

The Real "Big One" and the Chicxulub Myth

People always point to the dinosaurs. The Chicxulub impact 66 million years ago was a 10-kilometer monster. It ended the Cretaceous period. But focusing only on that makes us ignore the middle ground.

There is a huge gap between "shooting star" and "mass extinction."

Statistically, an asteroid the size of a football field hits Earth every few thousand years. These are the ones that can destroy a metropolitan area. We haven't had one of those in recorded modern history, but the lunar record—looking at the craters on the moon—shows us the frequency. The moon is a perfect record because it has no atmosphere to burn things up and no plate tectonics to erase the scars.

Identifying a "Hit" Today

How do we even know when we've been hit if it happens in the ocean?

Most of the Earth is water. Most of it is uninhabited. We rely on a global network of sensors that were actually built to listen for illegal nuclear tests. These infrasound sensors pick up the low-frequency rumble of asteroid airbursts all the time.

Peter Brown, a researcher at the University of Western Ontario, spends a lot of time analyzing this data. His work shows that Earth is hit by small asteroids (1 to 10 meters) much more frequently than we previously estimated from telescope surveys alone. Basically, the atmosphere is doing a great job of protecting us, but it's a busy shield.

Can we stop the next one?

The short answer is: maybe, if we have enough lead time.

In 2022, NASA conducted the DART (Double Asteroid Redirection Test) mission. They literally crashed a spacecraft into a moonlet called Dimorphos. The goal was to see if we could nudge an asteroid out of its orbit. It worked better than anyone expected. It proved that if we find a rock early enough—years or decades in advance—we don't need nukes. We just need a "kinetic impactor" to give it a little shove.

Misconceptions about Asteroid Hits

You see the headlines: "Asteroid heading for Earth!" Usually, when you read the fine print, the rock is passing millions of miles away. In astronomical terms, that's a "close shave," but it's not a hit.

Another misconception is that asteroids are "fireballs" in space. They aren't. They are cold, dark, and silent. They only become fireballs when they hit our atmosphere and the friction turns kinetic energy into heat and light.

What you should actually do

It's easy to get anxious about the sky falling. Don't. The odds of a significant, life-altering asteroid hitting Earth during your lifetime are incredibly low. It’s one of the few natural disasters we actually have the technology to prevent, provided we keep funding the surveys to find them.

If you’re interested in tracking what’s currently buzzing the planet, you should follow the NASA Asteroid Watch dashboard or the ESA’s NEO Coordination Centre. They list every "close approach" for the next several weeks. You'll see that "close" usually means "further away than the moon."

Actionable Insights for the Curious

  • Check the Skies: Use apps like SkySafari or websites like Heavens-Above to track reported fireballs. If you see one, you can report it to the American Meteor Society (AMS) to help scientists track its path.
  • Support Planetary Defense: While it sounds like sci-fi, "Planetary Defense" is a real branch of NASA. Staying informed about their budget and missions like NEO Surveyor is the best way to ensure we aren't caught off guard like the people in Chelyabinsk.
  • Hunt for Meteorites: If a hit is small enough, fragments reach the ground. If you’re in an area where a fireball was recently reported, look for rocks with a "fusion crust"—a thin, black, glass-like coating caused by the heat of entry.
  • Understand the Scale: Remember that the atmosphere protects us from anything smaller than a house. The real focus for experts is finding everything 140 meters and larger, which are the ones that could cause regional devastation.

The last time an asteroid hit Earth was likely within the last 24 hours. It just wasn't big enough to make the news. The next time a big one hits is a matter of "when," not "if," but for the first time in human history, we're actually looking up and preparing for it.